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Kathryn Murray, associate broker
Tiffany Realty LLC
130 Rappa Point Road
Warsaw, VA 22572
Cell: 804-450-4442
Fax: 877-295-0940
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More numbers, a real update

Sorry to have been slow to post this. These numbers are for the four counties (no Essex county in this analysis, just Richmond, Westmoreland, Lancaster and Northumberland) and this is for the period January 1 through July 1. There are some interesting things to be learned from the subsets. And it is always interesting to see what the overall numbers tell us. What it does tell us as of the 1st of July is that things are "getting better." Which is something I get questionned about all the time. Not hugely better....but yes, better. Some quick remarks and I hope to come back to this later today. No promises.

 

All residential (4 counties) 1/1 through 7/1
  2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Active
# sold 157 165 177 193 200 934
$ sold (millions) 41.5 45.0 52.2 51.2 61.9 389.0
Median sales price 184,900 200,000 210,000 177,400 240,000 319,000
Median days on market 196 185 218 224 202 138

Yes, improved. More houses sold. More dollars for those solds. Median sales price is the highest it's been in the last five years and the median days on market decreased in comparison to the last two years. That looks pretty good. 

Waterfront residential (4 counties) priced under $400,000, 1/1 through 7/1
  2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Active
# sold 38 44 40 40 54 234
$ sold (millions) 10.5 11.1 10.8 10.6 15.2 70.4
Median sales price 292,500 254,500 280,000 259,500 285,000 299,900
Median days on market 208 232 308 292 289.5 133.5

Good things to be said for waterfront priced under $400,000. More homes sold. More dollars by a 50% increase. Higher median sales price ....higher than all years except for 2011. Still it is clear that a lot of properties are selling for under $300,000 in this segment. The median days on market has dropped in comparison to the last two years. Median days on market for the actives is pretty low. This can mean lots of new listings or that there are many listings that have come back on that have been around before. Can't be sure. 

 

WF residential (4 counties), priced $300,000 to $400,000 1/1 through 7/1

  2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Active
# sold 22 18 20 15 25 112
$ sold (millions) 7.2 6.2 6.7 5.2 8.9 40.7
Median sales price 325,000 341,500 333,250 345,000 360,000 369,250
Median days on market 183 350 183.5 288 283 144

A subset of the under $400,000 market is the $300,000 to $400,000 segment. I wanted to look at this since I've been working with people in this price point and wanted to see where things stand. Well it is evident that this is a thriving segment (relatively speaking....of course this is the Northern Neck and these numbers aren't huge). A jump from 15 to 25 houses sold for the same period is signficant. The dollars sold onthose properties is up. The median sales price is the highest of the five years reviewed. Days on market, well at 283, that isn't perfect but things do take time around here. This does look good!!

WF residential (4 counties), priced $400,000 to $500,000 1/1 through 7/1
  2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Active
# sold 7 13 20 10 10 93
$ sold (millions) 2.9 5.5 7.7 4.4 4.3 43.1
Median sales price 408,000 425,000 412,000 450,000 413,750 468,000
Median days on market 426 169 278 173.5 141 105

This segment is a different story. 2013 was the big year with 20 houses sold. Since that time the number has been cut in half with 2015 having the lowest value for the solds for the last five years with the exception of 2011. In place of what is about 4 times the amount of actives as current solds (the $300,000 to $400,000 segment) we have 9 times the sold inventory in active. That makes it real challenging for someone trying to sell at this price.

WF residential (4 counties), priced $400,000 to $800,000 1/1 through 7/1
  2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Active
# sold 24 28 34 26 39 214
$ sold (millions) 12.76 14.1 16.1 13.9 20.8 121.8
Median sales price 505,000 492,000 433,650 523,000 528,500 541,000
Median days on market 422 174.5 220.5 209 224 116.5

Looking good. Best sales numbers. Best sales dollars. Highest median sales point and the days on market aren't too bad. But look at that median sales price.....not exactly bumping up toward the $800,000. Then again it looks as if most of the properties that are active are located just around $400,000 to $500,000 since the active median is $541,000. Has to be a lot of inventory skewed to the lower prices.

WF residential (4 counties), priced $800,000 plus  1/1 through 7/1
  2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Active
# sold 8 7 10 9 14 87
$ sold (millions) 7.2 6.8 11.7 10.2 14.4 112.9
Median sales price 858,125 900,000 897,500 925,000 954,750 1,175,000
Median days on market 331 378 347 273 172.5 155

Better news for this segment. And there isn't the excessive inventory of some of the previous segments. 2015 has the most sales, the most dollars, the highest median sales price and fewest median days on market. That looks rather healthy. 



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